Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.38 – 306.07

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177 ±13.3

7627Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 49.72Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 5.63Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 24.03Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.4 ±11.4

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 35.39Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3786Chargers

Season APEX 86.2Event APEX 54.36Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 216.32Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7627, 8303, 11347

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.4 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7627, 8303, 11347

Auto

8.7 12%

Teleop

45.8 62%

Endgame

19.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9446, 3786, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

306.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9446, 3786, 9023

Auto

48.9 16%

Teleop

180.7 59%

Endgame

75.6 25%

Strengths

· 9023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.4pts

Blue projected score306.1pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -226.7
Score range: 43–342
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 198.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177Season APEX431.4

8.7Auto48.9

45.8Teleop180.7

19.7Endgame75.6

28Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	54
teleop	45	170
endgame	49	48
foul	5	30
total	114	302

Result

Final score

114 – 302

Prediction correct · off by 19.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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