Qualification · Qualification 55
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
232.93 – 317.66
26%74%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
207 – 350
Prediction correct · off by 29.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.1 ±11.7
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 16.01Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 41.89Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 175.03Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 470.4 ±12
Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 44.24Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 348Event APEX 272.78Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 0.64Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3393, 2980, 4089
72
/ 100 compatProjected
232.9 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3393, 2980, 4089
Auto
58.1 25%
Teleop
122.8 52%
Endgame
54.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3876, 2046, 2929
83
/ 100 compatProjected
317.7 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3876, 2046, 2929
Auto
76.9 24%
Teleop
168.8 53%
Endgame
70.1 22%
Strengths
- · 2046 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 52%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.12 · Blue 2.14
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score232.9pts
Blue projected score317.7pts
Red win probability26%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 52%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -84.7
- Score range
- 198–353
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
375.1Season APEX470.4
58.1Auto76.9
122.8Teleop168.8
54Endgame70.1
1Consistency16
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 61 | 85 |
| teleop | 59 | 151 |
| endgame | 77 | 99 |
| foul | 10 | 15 |
| total | 207 | 350 |
Result
Final score
207 – 350
Prediction correct · off by 29.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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