Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.84 – 291.44

6%94%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 156 ±12.7

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 20.9Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 36.28Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 13.66Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 511.2 ±10.8

8051TinkRex

Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 55.16Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10455Bison Dynamics

Season APEX 89Event APEX 22.4Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 213.88Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3574, 9446, 3070

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.8 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3574, 9446, 3070

Auto

21.2 35%

Teleop

21.5 36%

Endgame

17.4 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8051, 10455, 9023

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8051, 10455, 9023

Auto

47.8 17%

Teleop

176.4 63%

Endgame

54.5 20%

Strengths

· 9023 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.8pts

Blue projected score291.4pts

Red win probability6%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -220.6
Score range: 36–326
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 396 vs event baseline 194.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

156Season APEX511.2

21.2Auto47.8

21.5Teleop176.4

17.4Endgame54.5

17Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	45
teleop	29	226
endgame	20	60
foul	0	0
total	65	331

Result

Final score

65 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 22.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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