Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
28.5 – 36.09
48%52%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
57 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 33.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 43.61Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -11.18Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -3.93Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 30.15Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 18.9Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 24.7Event APEX -12.96Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3049, 8896, 3219
6
/ 100 compatProjected
28.5 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 3049, 8896, 3219
Auto
3.1 19%
Teleop
-5.3 0%
Endgame
18.9 100%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 949, 2927, 5683
11
/ 100 compatProjected
36.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 949, 2927, 5683
Auto
19.7 69%
Teleop
2.0 7%
Endgame
7.0 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.58
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score28.5pts
Blue projected score36.1pts
Red win probability48%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 50%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -7.6
- Score range
- -7–72
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
202.5Season APEX167.2
3.1Auto19.7
-5.3Teleop2
18.9Endgame7
11Consistency21
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 26 |
| teleop | 15 | 45 |
| endgame | 5 | 3 |
| foul | 15 | 0 |
| total | 57 | 74 |
Result
Final score
57 – 74
Prediction correct · off by 33.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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