Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

28.24 – 527.26

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 496

Prediction correct · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133 ±13.9

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 2.05Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 5.18Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4579RoboEagles

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 21.01Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 988.7 ±8.1

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 53.24Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 196.26Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 277.76Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2929, 8303, 4579

/ 100 compat

Projected

28.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2929, 8303, 4579

Auto

11.5 58%

Teleop

8.2 41%

Endgame

0.1 1%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2910, 360, 2046

/ 100 compat

Projected

527.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2910, 360, 2046

Auto

89.9 17%

Teleop

312.6 59%

Endgame

125.8 24%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.61 · Blue 2.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score28.2pts

Blue projected score527.3pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -499
Score range: -7–562
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 533 vs event baseline 193.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133Season APEX988.7

11.5Auto89.9

8.2Teleop312.6

0.1Endgame125.8

23Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	89
teleop	14	293
endgame	17	114
foul	0	0
total	37	496

Result

Final score

37 – 496

Prediction correct · off by 20 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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