Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
225.67 – 101.58
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
246 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 21 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 376.7 ±11.7
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 56.25Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 128.29Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 41.13Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.9 ±13.3
Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 22.71Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67.6Event APEX 31.14Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 47.73Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8051, 10079, 3049
66
/ 100 compatProjected
225.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8051, 10079, 3049
Auto
50.0 23%
Teleop
130.5 60%
Endgame
38.5 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2927, 5295, 7627
44
/ 100 compatProjected
101.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2927, 5295, 7627
Auto
19.4 22%
Teleop
44.8 50%
Endgame
26.0 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.96
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score225.7pts
Blue projected score101.6pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 56%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 124.1
- Score range
- 67–261
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
376.7Season APEX167.9
50Auto19.4
130.5Teleop44.8
38.5Endgame26
11Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 15 |
| teleop | 139 | 43 |
| endgame | 50 | 22 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 246 | 80 |
Result
Final score
246 – 80
Prediction correct · off by 21 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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