Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

65.11 – 219.5

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 157.8 ±12.7

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 18.46Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 4.92Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 41.73Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 401.2 ±10.5

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -1.64Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 23.07Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 198.07Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3393, 2929, 8302

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3393, 2929, 8302

Auto

18.5 29%

Teleop

19.4 31%

Endgame

25.5 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8896, 3574, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.5 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8896, 3574, 360

Auto

40.8 20%

Teleop

93.0 45%

Endgame

73.4 35%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score65.1pts

Blue projected score219.5pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -154.4
Score range: 29–256
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 198.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

157.8Season APEX401.2

18.5Auto40.8

19.4Teleop93

25.5Endgame73.4

18Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	48
teleop	7	74
endgame	0	15
foul	10	30
total	31	167

Result

Final score

31 – 167

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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