Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.5 – 207.71

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 208 ±13.3

2980Whidbey Island Wildcats

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 33.15Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 3.74Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -2.39Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 371.1 ±12.4

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 167.41Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 38.18Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 2.12Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2980, 4682, 2906

/ 100 compat

Projected

34.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2980, 4682, 2906

Auto

21.7 53%

Teleop

-3.6 0%

Endgame

22.7 56%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4089, 9446, 8303

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.7 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4089, 9446, 8303

Auto

38.8 19%

Teleop

124.6 62%

Endgame

38.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score34.5pts

Blue projected score207.7pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -173.2
Score range: -1–244
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 353 vs event baseline 199.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

208Season APEX371.1

21.7Auto38.8

-3.6Teleop124.6

22.7Endgame38.9

21Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	55
teleop	47	134
endgame	42	50
foul	0	0
total	114	239

Result

Final score

114 – 239

Prediction correct · off by 55.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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