Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.78 – 77.26

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

180 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 19 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 270.2 ±11

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 44.73Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 109.6Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 11.45Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.2 ±13.3

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 35.53Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4579RoboEagles

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 39.04Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 2.69Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8302, 3663, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8302, 3663, 8896

Auto

38.7 24%

Teleop

80.9 51%

Endgame

38.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9446, 4579, 4682

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9446, 4579, 4682

Auto

2.0 3%

Teleop

39.3 56%

Endgame

29.5 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.8pts

Blue projected score77.3pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 88.5
Score range: 42–201
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 194.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

270.2Season APEX172.2

38.7Auto2

80.9Teleop39.3

38.6Endgame29.5

0Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	21
teleop	91	48
endgame	54	32
foul	0	0
total	180	101

Result

Final score

180 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 19 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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