Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

162.25 – 119.04

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

242 – 295

Prediction missed · off by 127.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 385.6 ±12.4

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX -5.85Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2906Sentinel Prime Robotics

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX -6.11Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 174.21Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 374.5 ±11

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 96.51Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8051TinkRex

Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 6.35Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 16.18Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8303, 2906, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8303, 2906, 360

Auto

24.6 16%

Teleop

79.6 51%

Endgame

52.5 34%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1778, 8051, 3574

/ 100 compat

Projected

119 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1778, 8051, 3574

Auto

47.8 42%

Teleop

47.8 42%

Endgame

17.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.37

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score162.3pts

Blue projected score119pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 43.2
Score range: 84–197
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 537 vs event baseline 192.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

385.6Season APEX374.5

24.6Auto47.8

79.6Teleop47.8

52.5Endgame17.6

93Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	46
teleop	140	129
endgame	52	90
foul	0	30
total	242	295

Result

Final score

242 – 295

Prediction missed · off by 127.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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