Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

236.21 – 93.18

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

474 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 137 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 507.8 ±11.2

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 75.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 162.97Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5295Aldernating Current

Season APEX 67.6Event APEX -1.86Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 149.7 ±13.3

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 50.66Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 9.33Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3393Horns of Havoc

Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 33.19Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3663, 4469, 5295

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3663, 4469, 5295

Auto

33.0 15%

Teleop

145.1 64%

Endgame

48.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9446, 2927, 3393

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9446, 2927, 3393

Auto

23.5 26%

Teleop

47.1 53%

Endgame

18.1 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score236.2pts

Blue projected score93.2pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 143
Score range: 59–270
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 531 vs event baseline 190.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

507.8Season APEX149.7

33Auto23.5

145.1Teleop47.1

48.4Endgame18.1

72Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	12
teleop	300	21
endgame	94	9
foul	0	15
total	474	57

Result

Final score

474 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 137 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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