Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

317.61 – 113.56

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

582 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 133 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.9 ±8.8

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -26.08Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 122.68Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 221.01Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 141.3 ±12.1

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 39.68Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7627Bearcat Robotics

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 59.36Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 14.52Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8896, 4089, 2046

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8896, 4089, 2046

Auto

63.3 20%

Teleop

184.1 59%

Endgame

63.0 20%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8302, 7627, 5683

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8302, 7627, 5683

Auto

29.0 27%

Teleop

45.6 42%

Endgame

33.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score317.6pts

Blue projected score113.6pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 204.1
Score range: 81–351
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 694 vs event baseline 185.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

701.9Season APEX141.3

63.3Auto29

184.1Teleop45.6

63Endgame33.3

84Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	132	11
teleop	330	59
endgame	115	42
foul	5	0
total	582	112

Result

Final score

582 – 112

Prediction correct · off by 133 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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