Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

108.19 – 218.27

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

62 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.2 ±13.3

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 36.38Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 15.85Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3876Mabton LugNutz

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 55.96Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.5 ±12.2

4579RoboEagles

Season APEX 38.2Event APEX 48.02Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 132.01Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3070Team Pronto 3070

Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 38.24Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4682, 11347, 3876

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4682, 11347, 3876

Auto

13.0 12%

Teleop

52.9 48%

Endgame

45.0 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4579, 10079, 3070

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4579, 10079, 3070

Auto

49.2 23%

Teleop

135.3 62%

Endgame

32.2 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score108.2pts

Blue projected score218.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.1
Score range: 74–252
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 186.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

202.2Season APEX238.5

13Auto49.2

52.9Teleop135.3

45Endgame32.2

16Consistency18

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	30
teleop	32	143
endgame	9	42
foul	0	0
total	62	215

Result

Final score

62 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 24.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.