Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.32 – 276.66

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 52 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.5 ±13.9

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 36.55Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 47.38Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3219TREAD (Trojan Robotics, Engineering, Art, & Design)

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 10.39Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.9 ±11.7

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 121.17Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 11.99Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 143.5Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9446, 949, 3219

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.3 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9446, 949, 3219

Auto

19.5 24%

Teleop

31.2 38%

Endgame

30.7 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10079, 2929, 1778

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10079, 2929, 1778

Auto

65.5 23%

Teleop

152.9 55%

Endgame

61.2 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score94.3pts

Blue projected score276.7pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -182.3
Score range: 54–317
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 267 vs event baseline 219.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.5Season APEX404.9

19.5Auto65.5

31.2Teleop152.9

30.7Endgame61.2

34Consistency25

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	66
teleop	8	106
endgame	9	52
foul	15	0
total	43	224

Result

Final score

43 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 52 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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