Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.46 – 379.67

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

221 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.4 ±12.8

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 5.21Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 25.42Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4512Otter Chaos

Season APEX 185Event APEX 101.83Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 643.5 ±10.7

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 163.62Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2980Whidbey Island Wildcats

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 33.34Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 182.71Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2929, 9446, 4512

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2929, 9446, 4512

Auto

4.7 4%

Teleop

55.3 47%

Endgame

57.4 49%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4469, 2980, 360

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4469, 2980, 360

Auto

57.0 15%

Teleop

210.5 54%

Endgame

118.8 31%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.79 · Blue 2.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.5pts

Blue projected score379.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -247.2
Score range: 99–413
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 583 vs event baseline 182.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.4Season APEX643.5

4.7Auto57

55.3Teleop210.5

57.4Endgame118.8

19Consistency168

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	60
teleop	89	198
endgame	61	104
foul	25	0
total	221	362

Result

Final score

221 – 362

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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