Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

259.16 – 98

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 109.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.8 ±12.2

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 54.46Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10079Arrowdynamics

Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 163.54Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2927NEST Robotics

Season APEX 35.2Event APEX 41.16Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.7 ±11.7

3219TREAD (Trojan Robotics, Engineering, Art, & Design)

Season APEX 46.9Event APEX -28.24Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 22.58Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 103.66Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3574, 10079, 2927

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3574, 10079, 2927

Auto

60.5 24%

Teleop

121.7 49%

Endgame

67.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3219, 4682, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

98 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3219, 4682, 4089

Auto

36.2 37%

Teleop

32.7 34%

Endgame

27.9 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score259.2pts

Blue projected score98pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 161.2
Score range: 65–292
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 284 vs event baseline 181.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.8Season APEX377.7

60.5Auto36.2

121.7Teleop32.7

67Endgame27.9

26Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	18
teleop	74	107
endgame	5	46
foul	0	0
total	113	171

Result

Final score

113 – 171

Prediction missed · off by 109.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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