Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

121.51 – 100.56

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

95 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 44 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 239 ±13.3

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 37.19Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8302⚡️ Ｎｉ-ＴＲＯ ⚡️

Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 34.33Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 49.99Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 115.7 ±13.3

3876Mabton LugNutz

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 71.93Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 2.93Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX 25.7Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11347, 8302, 949

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11347, 8302, 949

Auto

16.8 14%

Teleop

68.5 56%

Endgame

37.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3876, 8303, 5683

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3876, 8303, 5683

Auto

17.2 18%

Teleop

58.5 62%

Endgame

19.2 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.5pts

Blue projected score100.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 21
Score range: 67–156
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 134 vs event baseline 187.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

239Season APEX115.7

16.8Auto17.2

68.5Teleop58.5

37.6Endgame19.2

27Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	7
teleop	39	12
endgame	17	20
foul	15	0
total	95	39

Result

Final score

95 – 39

Prediction correct · off by 44 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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