Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

265.94 – 81.11

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

385 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 592.6 ±10.7

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 172.96Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 82.9Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9446C Cubed

Season APEX 71.3Event APEX 10.08Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 517.9 ±11.2

2910Jack in the Bot

Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 70.96Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2980Whidbey Island Wildcats

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 45.68Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -35.53Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 360, 4450, 9446

/ 100 compat

Projected

265.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 4450, 9446

Auto

32.0 13%

Teleop

149.6 59%

Endgame

72.1 28%

Strengths

· 360 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2910, 2980, 8896

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2910, 2980, 8896

Auto

-2.8 0%

Teleop

46.6 57%

Endgame

37.4 46%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score265.9pts

Blue projected score81.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184.8
Score range: 48–299
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 446 vs event baseline 185.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

592.6Season APEX517.9

32Auto-2.8

149.6Teleop46.6

72.1Endgame37.4

131Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	6
teleop	201	25
endgame	116	30
foul	0	0
total	385	61

Result

Final score

385 – 61

Prediction correct · off by 69.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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