Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.22 – 211.33

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 79.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.3 ±12.2

8303GatorBytes

Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 4.61Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3663CPR - Cedar Park Robotics

Season APEX 132.9Event APEX 74.02Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 43.59Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.9 ±12.4

949Wolverine Robotics

Season APEX 107.3Event APEX 26.3Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3876Mabton LugNutz

Season APEX 59.3Event APEX 69.88Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 115.15Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8303, 3663, 4682

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8303, 3663, 4682

Auto

22.3 19%

Teleop

81.8 68%

Endgame

15.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 949, 3876, 4469

/ 100 compat

Projected

211.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 949, 3876, 4469

Auto

17.3 8%

Teleop

131.8 64%

Endgame

56.2 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.2pts

Blue projected score211.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.1
Score range: 88–245
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 323 vs event baseline 188.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.3Season APEX473.9

22.3Auto17.3

81.8Teleop131.8

15.9Endgame56.2

142Consistency105

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	60
teleop	4	167
endgame	16	59
foul	5	0
total	37	286

Result

Final score

37 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 79.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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