Qualification · Qualification 17
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
99.14 – 40.92
67%33%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
188 – 197
Prediction missed · off by 122.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 269.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 46.9Event APEX 18.61Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 158.6Event APEX 96.5Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -15.97Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 448.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX -33.86Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 62.45Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 148.3Event APEX 12.33Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3219, 10079, 2980
45
/ 100 compatProjected
99.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3219, 10079, 2980
Auto
38.4 41%
Teleop
32.4 35%
Endgame
22.3 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8302, 4450, 8051
16
/ 100 compatProjected
40.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8302, 4450, 8051
Auto
29.5 84%
Teleop
35.0 99%
Endgame
-29.3 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 64%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score99.1pts
Blue projected score40.9pts
Red win probability67%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 64%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 58.2
- Score range
- 7–133
- Upset likelihood
- 33%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
269.3Season APEX448.7
38.4Auto29.5
32.4Teleop35
22.3Endgame-29.3
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 51 |
| teleop | 69 | 94 |
| endgame | 70 | 52 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 188 | 197 |
Result
Final score
188 – 197
Prediction missed · off by 122.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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