Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.13 – 146.38

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 173

Prediction missed · off by 97.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 433.1 ±11.7

4469R.A.I.D. (Raider Artificial Intelligence Division)

A+

Season APEX 307.3Event APEX 89.36Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX -9.14Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2929Emeral Ridge JAGBOTS

Season APEX 63.1Event APEX 16.91Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 288.1 ±12.2

1778Chill Out

Season APEX 183.2Event APEX 71.97Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5683R.A.V.E.N.

Season APEX 24.7Event APEX -21.15Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 95.56Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4469, 4682, 2929

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4469, 4682, 2929

Auto

33.1 35%

Teleop

50.7 54%

Endgame

10.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1778, 5683, 11347

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.4 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1778, 5683, 11347

Auto

14.4 11%

Teleop

79.3 58%

Endgame

43.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.1pts

Blue projected score146.4pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.2
Score range: 64–179
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 439 vs event baseline 182.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

433.1Season APEX288.1

33.1Auto14.4

50.7Teleop79.3

10.1Endgame43.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	31
teleop	165	99
endgame	93	43
foul	0	0
total	266	173

Result

Final score

266 – 173

Prediction missed · off by 97.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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