Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
136.34 – 176.85
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
103 – 166
Prediction correct · off by 22.1 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 461.5 ±11.1
Season APEX 41.7Event APEX 70.98Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 368.3Event APEX 59.13Rank 22Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.5Event APEX 6.23Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.8 ±11.7
Season APEX 31.7Event APEX 31.14Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 43.2Event APEX 67.41Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 78.3Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3070, 2910, 8302
59
/ 100 compatProjected
136.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3070, 2910, 8302
Auto
23.9 18%
Teleop
76.9 57%
Endgame
33.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8303, 3393, 4450
67
/ 100 compatProjected
176.9 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 8303, 3393, 4450
Auto
37.2 21%
Teleop
102.0 59%
Endgame
35.1 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.87
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score136.3pts
Blue projected score176.9pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -40.5
- Score range
- 103–210
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
461.5Season APEX323.8
23.9Auto37.2
76.9Teleop102
33.7Endgame35.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 7 | 18 |
| teleop | 74 | 113 |
| endgame | 22 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 103 | 166 |
Result
Final score
103 – 166
Prediction correct · off by 22.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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