Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

418.31 – 59.57

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

339 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 677.1 ±10.2

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 279.11Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11347Bronco Brigade

Season APEX 80.2Event APEX 29.29Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4450Olympia Robotics Federation

Season APEX 248.9Event APEX 109.91Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 175.5 ±12.7

3049BremerTron

Season APEX 69.8Event APEX 36.3Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 10.56Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4682CyBears

Season APEX 62.7Event APEX 12.71Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2046, 11347, 4450

/ 100 compat

Projected

418.3 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2046, 11347, 4450

Auto

75.9 18%

Teleop

234.4 57%

Endgame

102.2 25%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3049, 3574, 4682

/ 100 compat

Projected

59.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3049, 3574, 4682

Auto

14.1 28%

Teleop

8.5 17%

Endgame

28.0 55%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.8 · Blue 0.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score418.3pts

Blue projected score59.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 358.7
Score range: 20–458
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 450 vs event baseline 219.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

677.1Season APEX175.5

75.9Auto14.1

234.4Teleop8.5

102.2Endgame28

26Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	36
teleop	201	52
endgame	73	23
foul	10	0
total	339	111

Result

Final score

339 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 65.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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