Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

376.74 – 476.68

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

334 – 525

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±9.9

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 180.69Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 12.26Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 183.79Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 707.7 ±8.2

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -4.88Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 204.26Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 277.3Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 360, 3574, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 3574, 4089

Auto

77.6 21%

Teleop

197.7 54%

Endgame

92.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8896, 9023, 2046

/ 100 compat

Projected

476.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8896, 9023, 2046

Auto

99.2 21%

Teleop

264.8 57%

Endgame

99.0 21%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 2.28

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score376.7pts

Blue projected score476.7pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -99.9
Score range: 338–516
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 859 vs event baseline 217.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.5Season APEX707.7

77.6Auto99.2

197.7Teleop264.8

92.5Endgame99

15Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	63	128
teleop	179	288
endgame	82	109
foul	10	0
total	334	525

Result

Final score

334 – 525

Prediction correct · off by 45.5 pts

Match videos

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