Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

386.46 – 474.04

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

312 – 488

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 583.5 ±9.9

360The Revolution

Season APEX 272.4Event APEX 183.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3574HIGH TEKERZ

Season APEX 43Event APEX 15.4Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4089Stealth Robotics

Season APEX 268.1Event APEX 187.23Rank 4Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 707.7 ±8.2

8896Wolf Tech Robotics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -5.88Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9023Future Martians

Season APEX 273.9Event APEX 203.43Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2046Bear Metal

Season APEX 348Event APEX 276.49Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 360, 3574, 4089

/ 100 compat

Projected

386.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 360, 3574, 4089

Auto

87.0 23%

Teleop

205.4 54%

Endgame

89.1 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8896, 9023, 2046

/ 100 compat

Projected

474 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8896, 9023, 2046

Auto

99.7 22%

Teleop

260.4 57%

Endgame

98.5 21%

Strengths

· 2046 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score386.5pts

Blue projected score474pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -87.6
Score range: 347–513
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 800 vs event baseline 215.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

583.5Season APEX707.7

87Auto99.7

205.4Teleop260.4

89.1Endgame98.5

12Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	89
teleop	148	289
endgame	116	105
foul	35	5
total	312	488

Result

Final score

312 – 488

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Match videos

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