Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

503.07 – 212.09

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

657 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 83 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 713 ±9.3

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 237.8Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 34.84Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 230.43Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 402.1 ±14

138Entropy

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 50.18Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11468Lisbon Panther Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 7.96Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 153.95Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 195, 11175, 5687

/ 100 compat

Projected

503.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 195, 11175, 5687

Auto

128.5 26%

Teleop

288.2 58%

Endgame

81.5 16%

Strengths

· 195 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 138, 11468, 1073

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.1 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 138, 11468, 1073

Auto

31.3 16%

Teleop

106.5 55%

Endgame

57.0 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score503.1pts

Blue projected score212.1pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 291
Score range: 170–545
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 857 vs event baseline 232.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

713Season APEX402.1

128.5Auto31.3

288.2Teleop106.5

81.5Endgame57

0Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	161	11
teleop	342	105
endgame	139	69
foul	15	15
total	657	200

Result

Final score

657 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 83 pts

Match videos

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