Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.87 – 247.89

10%90%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 212 ±11.6

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX 0.09Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 30.54Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 37.24Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±11

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 77.89Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 64.6Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 105.4Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9096, 6933, 10910

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9096, 6933, 10910

Auto

25.2 37%

Teleop

11.7 17%

Endgame

31.2 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2342, 1729, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2342, 1729, 8085

Auto

49.8 20%

Teleop

128.0 52%

Endgame

70.7 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.89 · Blue 2.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.9pts

Blue projected score247.9pts

Red win probability10%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -180
Score range: 27–289
Upset likelihood: 10%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 457 vs event baseline 229.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

212Season APEX363.5

25.2Auto49.8

11.7Teleop128

31.2Endgame70.7

22Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	45
teleop	68	155
endgame	31	128
foul	5	5
total	124	333

Result

Final score

124 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 70.6 pts

Match videos

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