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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District UVM Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

356.7 – 224.82

84%16%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

351 – 343

Prediction correct · off by 61.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 511 ±10.5
95Grasshoppers
B
Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 150.45Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
138Entropy
C
Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 51.13Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1073The Force Team
A
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 155.12Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 363.5 ±11
2342Team Phoenix
C
Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 70.19Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
1729Team Inconceivable!
C
Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 57.14Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
8085MOJO
C
Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 97.49Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 95, 138, 1073
79
/ 100 compat
Projected
356.7 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 95, 138, 1073
Auto
41.9 12%
Teleop
197.2 57%
Endgame
104.1 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2342, 1729, 8085
63
/ 100 compat
Projected
224.8 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2342, 1729, 8085
Auto
51.1 23%
Teleop
111.8 50%
Endgame
62.6 28%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 1.1
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score356.7pts
Blue projected score224.8pts
Red win probability84%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
131.9
Score range
184–398
Upset likelihood
16%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 694 vs event baseline 228.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

511Season APEX363.5
41.9Auto51.1
197.2Teleop111.8
104.1Endgame62.6
15Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6044
teleop196195
endgame95104
foul00
total351343

Result

Final score

351 – 343

Prediction correct · off by 61.9 pts

Match videos

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