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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
NE District UVM Event

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

352.03 – 276.74

72%28%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

283 – 329

Prediction missed · off by 60.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 511 ±10.5
1073The Force Team
A
Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 152.59Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
138Entropy
C
Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 50.07Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
95Grasshoppers
B
Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 149.37Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.6 ±10.5
6153Blue Crew
D
Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 34.74Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
166Chop Shop
A
Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 115.55Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
319Big Bad Bob
B
Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 126.45Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1073, 138, 95
78
/ 100 compat
Projected
352 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 1073, 138, 95
Auto
43.2 13%
Teleop
195.3 57%
Endgame
103.2 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6153, 166, 319
65
/ 100 compat
Projected
276.7 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6153, 166, 319
Auto
32.1 12%
Teleop
158.3 60%
Endgame
75.5 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 9%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.22 · Blue 1.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score352pts
Blue projected score276.7pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 14%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
75.3
Score range
234–395
Upset likelihood
28%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset
High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 612 vs event baseline 236.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

511Season APEX455.6
43.2Auto32.1
195.3Teleop158.3
103.2Endgame75.5
21Consistency6

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto3854
teleop118199
endgame7776
foul500
total283329

Result

Final score

283 – 329

Prediction missed · off by 60.6 pts

Match videos

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