Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.12 – 91.63

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

232 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 198.1 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 395 ±14.5

11468Lisbon Panther Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 10.38Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

10945ELP's Mad CAD-ers

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX 5.07Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 73.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 500.9 ±11.2

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX -4.3Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 68.5Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 27.43Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11468, 10945, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.1 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 11468, 10945, 195

Auto

-7.7 0%

Teleop

83.1 91%

Endgame

15.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 319, 1073, 2523

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 319, 1073, 2523

Auto

23.3 25%

Teleop

38.2 41%

Endgame

31.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score89.1pts

Blue projected score91.6pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.5
Score range: 54–127
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 577 vs event baseline 192.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

395Season APEX500.9

-7.7Auto23.3

83.1Teleop38.2

15.6Endgame31.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	38
teleop	104	175
endgame	52	82
foul	15	50
total	232	345

Result

Final score

232 – 345

Prediction correct · off by 198.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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