Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

224.35 – 85.14

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

449 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 143.4 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 614.6 ±11.2

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 74.86Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 101.71Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 47.78Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.6 ±15.8

10108Hazard5

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 40Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 15.71Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8421CRUSADERS

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 29.43Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6329, 95, 9101

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6329, 95, 9101

Auto

54.4 24%

Teleop

134.0 60%

Endgame

36.0 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10108, 6690, 8421

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10108, 6690, 8421

Auto

14.6 17%

Teleop

42.9 50%

Endgame

27.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.59 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.4pts

Blue projected score85.1pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 139.2
Score range: 52–257
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 472 vs event baseline 180.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

614.6Season APEX197.6

54.4Auto14.6

134Teleop42.9

36Endgame27.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	113	10
teleop	211	10
endgame	125	3
foul	0	0
total	449	23

Result

Final score

449 – 23

Prediction correct · off by 143.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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