Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

280.1 – 91.51

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

305 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.6 ±11.2

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 16.01Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 229.73Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 34.36Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.9 ±12.8

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 63.99Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10937River Valley RADs+

Season APEX 32.2Event APEX -29.37Rank 33Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 56.89Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8708, 5687, 6690

/ 100 compat

Projected

280.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8708, 5687, 6690

Auto

77.2 27%

Teleop

166.7 59%

Endgame

39.1 14%

Strengths

· 5687 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2523, 10937, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

91.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2523, 10937, 1729

Auto

41.0 46%

Teleop

27.0 31%

Endgame

20.4 23%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score280.1pts

Blue projected score91.5pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 188.6
Score range: 52–320
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 403 vs event baseline 224.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.6Season APEX245.9

77.2Auto41

166.7Teleop27

39.1Endgame20.4

28Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	109	29
teleop	132	41
endgame	64	28
foul	0	0
total	305	98

Result

Final score

305 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 15.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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