Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.23 – 423.63

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

172 – 506

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 292.7 ±12

8421CRUSADERS

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 51.77Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10945ELP's Mad CAD-ers

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -3.52Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 87.98Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 602.3 ±9.4

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 250.53Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 29.07Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 144.03Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8421, 10945, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8421, 10945, 4909

Auto

24.3 18%

Teleop

72.4 52%

Endgame

41.6 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 125, 10910, 95

/ 100 compat

Projected

423.6 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 125, 10910, 95

Auto

77.6 18%

Teleop

230.7 54%

Endgame

115.1 27%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136.2pts

Blue projected score423.6pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -287.4
Score range: 96–464
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 678 vs event baseline 223.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

292.7Season APEX602.3

24.3Auto77.6

72.4Teleop230.7

41.6Endgame115.1

17Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	107
teleop	106	252
endgame	54	132
foul	0	15
total	172	506

Result

Final score

172 – 506

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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