Qualification · Qualification 65
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
332.85 – 56.82
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
411 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 52.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 16.53Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 231.59Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 135.2Event APEX 84.73Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 151.7 ±13.9
Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 34.38Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 11Event APEX -6.71Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 29.15Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9056, 195, 1512
80
/ 100 compatProjected
332.9 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 9056, 195, 1512
Auto
53.0 16%
Teleop
186.3 57%
Endgame
90.1 27%
Strengths
- · 195 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10066, 1247, 9101
28
/ 100 compatProjected
56.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 10066, 1247, 9101
Auto
9.2 16%
Teleop
37.0 65%
Endgame
11.0 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 23%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.8 · Blue 0.73
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score332.9pts
Blue projected score56.8pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 58%
Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 276
- Score range
- 17–373
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
506.7Season APEX151.7
53Auto9.2
186.3Teleop37
90.1Endgame11
13Consistency10
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 88 | 27 |
| teleop | 280 | 35 |
| endgame | 18 | 17 |
| foul | 25 | 5 |
| total | 411 | 84 |
Result
Final score
411 – 84
Prediction correct · off by 52.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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