Qualification · Qualification 63

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

263.58 – 385.18

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

233 – 484

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.5 ±13.5

11468Lisbon Panther Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 19.76Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 117.99Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 125.83Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 598.1 ±10.5

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 66.6Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 28.77Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 289.81Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11468, 166, 319

/ 100 compat

Projected

263.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11468, 166, 319

Auto

26.3 11%

Teleop

150.2 60%

Endgame

73.4 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2342, 11175, 6329

/ 100 compat

Projected

385.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2342, 11175, 6329

Auto

86.4 23%

Teleop

207.8 55%

Endgame

86.8 23%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score263.6pts

Blue projected score385.2pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121.6
Score range: 224–425
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 717 vs event baseline 221.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.5Season APEX598.1

26.3Auto86.4

150.2Teleop207.8

73.4Endgame86.8

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	75
teleop	114	263
endgame	40	116
foul	60	30
total	233	484

Result

Final score

233 – 484

Prediction correct · off by 64.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.