Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.08 – 133.17

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

37 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 235.3 ±13.3

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 33.79Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 8.12Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 42.17Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 232.1 ±12.8

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 58.33Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 88.12Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1247Blood, Sweat, and Gears

Season APEX 11Event APEX -13.28Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9101, 11269, 6690

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9101, 11269, 6690

Auto

10.8 12%

Teleop

54.6 61%

Endgame

23.7 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2523, 8085, 1247

/ 100 compat

Projected

133.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 2523, 8085, 1247

Auto

38.1 28%

Teleop

74.8 55%

Endgame

23.9 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.1pts

Blue projected score133.2pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -49.1
Score range: 44–173
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 261 vs event baseline 222.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

235.3Season APEX232.1

10.8Auto38.1

54.6Teleop74.8

23.7Endgame23.9

0Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	41
teleop	14	141
endgame	14	42
foul	0	0
total	37	224

Result

Final score

37 – 224

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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