Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

73.29 – 678.73

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

80 – 664

Prediction correct · off by 10.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.1 ±12.2

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 18.63Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 25.37Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 29.29Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 946.6 ±8.7

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 153.5Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 291.13Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

195CyberKnights

A+

Season APEX 301.4Event APEX 234.1Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9056, 6933, 11175

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9056, 6933, 11175

Auto

19.7 27%

Teleop

29.1 41%

Endgame

22.9 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1073, 6329, 195

/ 100 compat

Projected

678.7 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1073, 6329, 195

Auto

125.5 19%

Teleop

366.0 55%

Endgame

174.9 26%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.71 · Blue 2.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score73.3pts

Blue projected score678.7pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -605.4
Score range: 33–719
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 744 vs event baseline 222.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.1Season APEX946.6

19.7Auto125.5

29.1Teleop366

22.9Endgame174.9

46Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	167
teleop	33	361
endgame	31	136
foul	0	0
total	80	664

Result

Final score

80 – 664

Prediction correct · off by 10.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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