Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.08 – 147.71

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 33.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.9 ±9.8

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 110.28Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 149.99Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 41.81Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 280.5 ±11

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 34.59Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 70.87Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 42.25Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 1073, 10910

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.1 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8085, 1073, 10910

Auto

54.1 18%

Teleop

158.6 54%

Endgame

83.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6153, 1729, 11175

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.7 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6153, 1729, 11175

Auto

37.1 26%

Teleop

76.9 53%

Endgame

30.6 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.61 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score302.1pts

Blue projected score147.7pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.4
Score range: 102–348
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 382 vs event baseline 254.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.9Season APEX280.5

54.1Auto37.1

158.6Teleop76.9

83.6Endgame30.6

30Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	10
teleop	126	88
endgame	75	27
foul	0	0
total	257	125

Result

Final score

257 – 125

Prediction correct · off by 33.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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