Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

188.56 – 134.59

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

192 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 2.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 363.9 ±10.4

11175Tidal Shock

Season APEX 98Event APEX 28.74Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10910The Outlaws

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 32.05Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 127.77Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.1 ±11

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 26.14Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 89.13Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 19.32Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11175, 10910, 319

/ 100 compat

Projected

188.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 11175, 10910, 319

Auto

27.0 15%

Teleop

116.9 65%

Endgame

36.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6933, 8085, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6933, 8085, 8708

Auto

38.8 28%

Teleop

55.7 40%

Endgame

45.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score188.6pts

Blue projected score134.6pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54
Score range: 95–229
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 328 vs event baseline 220.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

363.9Season APEX273.1

27Auto38.8

116.9Teleop55.7

36Endgame45.5

21Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	36
teleop	84	68
endgame	68	32
foul	10	0
total	192	136

Result

Final score

192 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 2.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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