Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.01 – 136.09

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

162 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 83.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 252.4 ±12.8

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 27.82Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 15.17Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 53.02Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.7 ±14.4

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX -13.48Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11468Lisbon Panther Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 11Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 138.57Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9101, 9056, 1729

/ 100 compat

Projected

96 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9101, 9056, 1729

Auto

29.5 32%

Teleop

36.1 39%

Endgame

26.5 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9096, 11468, 95

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9096, 11468, 95

Auto

18.8 14%

Teleop

81.7 61%

Endgame

33.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.47 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96pts

Blue projected score136.1pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.1
Score range: 56–176
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 220.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

252.4Season APEX259.7

29.5Auto18.8

36.1Teleop81.7

26.5Endgame33.1

4Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	28
teleop	105	132
endgame	18	67
foul	0	10
total	162	237

Result

Final score

162 – 237

Prediction correct · off by 83.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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