Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

307.5 – 214.59

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

291 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.9 ±10.8

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 18.91Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 261.41Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 27.18Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 416.3 ±11.2

1729Team Inconceivable!

Season APEX 123.9Event APEX 52.46Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10138VikingBot

Season APEX 39Event APEX 7.52Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 154.61Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8708, 125, 9101

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8708, 125, 9101

Auto

62.3 21%

Teleop

162.3 53%

Endgame

78.9 26%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1729, 10138, 1073

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1729, 10138, 1073

Auto

49.5 25%

Teleop

91.7 46%

Endgame

58.5 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.14 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score307.5pts

Blue projected score214.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.9
Score range: 176–347
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 565 vs event baseline 215.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.9Season APEX416.3

62.3Auto49.5

162.3Teleop91.7

78.9Endgame58.5

44Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	33
teleop	157	144
endgame	89	92
foul	0	5
total	291	274

Result

Final score

291 – 274

Prediction correct · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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