Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

33.32 – 114.6

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 168.5 ±12.7

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 17.13Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX -8.94Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 25.13Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±12.2

10945ELP's Mad CAD-ers

Season APEX 38.1Event APEX -5.78Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 120.99Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX -0.61Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9056, 9096, 6153

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.3 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9056, 9096, 6153

Auto

15.1 43%

Teleop

18.4 53%

Endgame

1.4 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10945, 319, 11269

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.6 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10945, 319, 11269

Auto

8.3 7%

Teleop

68.5 62%

Endgame

33.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score33.3pts

Blue projected score114.6pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.3
Score range: -6–154
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 217.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

168.5Season APEX321.5

15.1Auto8.3

18.4Teleop68.5

1.4Endgame33.9

2Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	33
teleop	9	110
endgame	7	57
foul	0	0
total	30	200

Result

Final score

30 – 200

Prediction correct · off by 44.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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