Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

134.77 – 534.88

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

124 – 651

Prediction correct · off by 63.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 253 ±14.9

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 102.48Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10108Hazard5

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 10.46Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 21.83Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 777 ±12.7

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 248.08Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 287.08Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11468Lisbon Panther Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX -0.28Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8085, 10108, 9056

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.8 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8085, 10108, 9056

Auto

38.8 29%

Teleop

71.8 53%

Endgame

25.3 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 125, 6329, 11468

/ 100 compat

Projected

534.9 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 125, 6329, 11468

Auto

119.3 23%

Teleop

265.2 50%

Endgame

141.6 27%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score134.8pts

Blue projected score534.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -400.1
Score range: 97–573
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 775 vs event baseline 210.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

253Season APEX777

38.8Auto119.3

71.8Teleop265.2

25.3Endgame141.6

14Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	139
teleop	59	382
endgame	44	125
foul	5	5
total	124	651

Result

Final score

124 – 651

Prediction correct · off by 63.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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