Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
152.34 – 147.68
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
140 – 103
Prediction correct · off by 28.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.9 ±14
Season APEX 64Event APEX 33.94Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 1.48Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 116.92Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 273.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 82.47Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 17.33Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 47.88Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6933, 10108, 166
44
/ 100 compatProjected
152.3 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6933, 10108, 166
Auto
22.6 15%
Teleop
68.2 46%
Endgame
58.3 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2342, 9056, 8421
43
/ 100 compatProjected
147.7 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2342, 9056, 8421
Auto
21.4 15%
Teleop
78.0 56%
Endgame
40.9 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 11%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score152.3pts
Blue projected score147.7pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 18%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 4.7
- Score range
- 102–198
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
354.9Season APEX273.2
22.6Auto21.4
68.2Teleop78
58.3Endgame40.9
37Consistency4
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 44 | 7 |
| teleop | 55 | 49 |
| endgame | 41 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 140 | 103 |
Result
Final score
140 – 103
Prediction correct · off by 28.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.