Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

197.78 – 298.32

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

190 – 402

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.8 ±10.5

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 118.21Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 93.95Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX -14.38Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.1 ±12.4

6329The Bucks' Wrath

Season APEX 391.8Event APEX 270.06Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 20.13Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX 8.13Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 839, 166, 9096

/ 100 compat

Projected

197.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 839, 166, 9096

Auto

9.5 5%

Teleop

111.3 57%

Endgame

73.9 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6329, 6690, 9056

/ 100 compat

Projected

298.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6329, 6690, 9056

Auto

65.5 22%

Teleop

139.1 48%

Endgame

86.7 30%

Strengths

· 6329 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 2.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score197.8pts

Blue projected score298.3pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -100.5
Score range: 160–336
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 209.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.8Season APEX513.1

9.5Auto65.5

111.3Teleop139.1

73.9Endgame86.7

0Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	92
teleop	91	227
endgame	77	83
foul	0	0
total	190	402

Result

Final score

190 – 402

Prediction correct · off by 55.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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