Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

457.19 – 218.23

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

576 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 742.9 ±7.5

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 224.89Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 61.63Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1073The Force Team

Season APEX 253.4Event APEX 170.67Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 406 ±11.7

166Chop Shop

Season APEX 239.3Event APEX 102.01Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9101Green Mountain Robotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 38.99Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 77.23Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 125, 4909, 1073

/ 100 compat

Projected

457.2 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 125, 4909, 1073

Auto

86.9 20%

Teleop

252.6 58%

Endgame

99.7 23%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 166, 9101, 2342

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 166, 9101, 2342

Auto

27.2 13%

Teleop

118.9 56%

Endgame

66.5 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 18%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.77 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score457.2pts

Blue projected score218.2pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 18%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 239
Score range: 179–496
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 795 vs event baseline 215.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

742.9Season APEX406

86.9Auto27.2

252.6Teleop118.9

99.7Endgame66.5

77Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	13
teleop	340	133
endgame	164	63
foul	0	10
total	576	219

Result

Final score

576 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.