Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

422.04 – 189.9

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

426 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 546 ±10

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 119.39Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 237.29Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6153Blue Crew

Season APEX 58.6Event APEX 65.36Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 279.6 ±12.2

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 147.94Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 12.75Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6933Archytas

Season APEX 64Event APEX 29.21Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 319, 125, 6153

/ 100 compat

Projected

422 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 319, 125, 6153

Auto

48.2 12%

Teleop

250.2 61%

Endgame

110.8 27%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 95, 6690, 6933

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 95, 6690, 6933

Auto

33.4 17%

Teleop

115.9 59%

Endgame

48.6 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score422pts

Blue projected score189.9pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 232.1
Score range: 153–459
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 693 vs event baseline 206.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

546Season APEX279.6

48.2Auto33.4

250.2Teleop115.9

110.8Endgame48.6

19Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	34
teleop	240	135
endgame	117	93
foul	0	5
total	426	267

Result

Final score

426 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 40.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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