Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.34 – 98.32

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

294 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 27 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 334.7 ±11.7

10138VikingBot

Season APEX 39Event APEX 16.73Rank 34Record 1-11-0Status establishedConfidence 97

95Grasshoppers

Season APEX 164.4Event APEX 150.93Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8085MOJO

Season APEX 131.3Event APEX 76.68Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 170.5 ±13.3

6690MV roboPride

Season APEX 51.2Event APEX 12.22Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2342Team Phoenix

Season APEX 108.3Event APEX 84.35Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1247Blood, Sweat, and Gears

Season APEX 11Event APEX 1.75Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10138, 95, 8085

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10138, 95, 8085

Auto

59.7 23%

Teleop

131.6 51%

Endgame

66.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6690, 2342, 1247

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6690, 2342, 1247

Auto

3.5 3%

Teleop

69.4 68%

Endgame

29.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.51 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score244.3pts

Blue projected score98.3pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 146
Score range: 62–280
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 200.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

334.7Season APEX170.5

59.7Auto3.5

131.6Teleop69.4

66.4Endgame29.1

107Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	6
teleop	179	55
endgame	57	33
foul	0	0
total	294	94

Result

Final score

294 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 27 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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