Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

61.18 – 33.57

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

39 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 11.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289 ±12.7

11269Batteries Not Included

Season APEX 125.7Event APEX 25.61Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9056CyberHuskies 9056

Season APEX 70.1Event APEX -5.99Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

138Entropy

Season APEX 93.2Event APEX 41.56Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.4 ±12.2

8421CRUSADERS

Season APEX 94.8Event APEX 52.73Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9096Bad Weather

Season APEX 39.8Event APEX -34.18Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 15.02Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11269, 9056, 138

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11269, 9056, 138

Auto

-10.4 0%

Teleop

25.5 43%

Endgame

44.0 74%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8421, 9096, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

33.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8421, 9096, 8708

Auto

23.8 73%

Teleop

4.6 14%

Endgame

4.1 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score61.2pts

Blue projected score33.6pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.6
Score range: -4–99
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 72 vs event baseline 210.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289Season APEX212.4

-10.4Auto23.8

25.5Teleop4.6

44Endgame4.1

99Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	13
teleop	20	15
endgame	8	5
foul	0	0
total	39	33

Result

Final score

39 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 11.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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