Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.68 – 201.62

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

96 – 505

Prediction correct · off by 156.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 196.9 ±17.5

10108Hazard5

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX -25.4Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 76

11468Lisbon Panther Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 14.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 77

2523Tech Storm

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 96.37Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 631.1 ±8.8

319Big Bad Bob

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 65.52Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5687The Outliers

A+

Season APEX 313.6Event APEX 128.18Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 7.92Rank 24Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10108, 11468, 2523

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10108, 11468, 2523

Auto

48.3 78%

Teleop

15.3 25%

Endgame

-1.5 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 319, 5687, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.6 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 319, 5687, 4909

Auto

59.1 30%

Teleop

108.1 56%

Endgame

27.3 14%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.1 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.7pts

Blue projected score201.6pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -115.9
Score range: 49–239
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 601 vs event baseline 204.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

196.9Season APEX631.1

48.3Auto59.1

15.3Teleop108.1

-1.5Endgame27.3

67Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	69
teleop	43	346
endgame	25	85
foul	5	5
total	96	505

Result

Final score

96 – 505

Prediction correct · off by 156.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.